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Friday, October 18, 2024

Walt Disney: Approaching 100-week SMA at Pre-Earnings Launch


The Walt Disney Co., a diversified worldwide household leisure and media enterprise based since 1923, shall launch its Q1 2024 earnings consequence on 7th February (Wednesday), after market shut. The corporate operates through two important segments: Disney Media and Leisure Distribution (DMED) and Disney Parks, Experiences and Merchandise (DPEP). The previous covers the corporate’s international movie, tv content material manufacturing and distribution actions, whereas the latter encompasses parks and experiences and client merchandise.

Walt Disney Income (in billion US {dollars}). Supply: Statista

Walt Disney generated $21.2B income in This fall 2023, down -4.88% from the earlier quarter, however up 5.41% from the identical interval final 12 months. In line with the official report, income generated from the Disney Parks section was up 13% (y/y) to $8.2B (boosted by positive factors in worldwide parks buoyed by elevated attendance and visitor spending development, however barely offset by decrease outcomes at home parks and resorts). However, section working earnings was up 31% (y/y) to $1.76B.

Revenues and Operating Income: Disney Media and Entertainment. Source: Walt Disney Report
Revenues and Working Earnings: Disney Media and Leisure. Supply: Walt Disney Report

Quite the opposite, the corporate’s Media and Leisure Distribution was up 2% (y/y) in income to $9.5B. Each home and worldwide channels reported losses, resulting in Linear Networks down -9% (y/y) to $2.6B. Working earnings for the section have been down -5% (y/y) and -3% (y/y) for home and worldwide part, to $528 million and $115 million, respectively. Income for Content material Gross sales/Licensing and Different was down -3% (y/y) to $1.86B. The losses of the 2 segments have been barely offset by positive factors within the Direct-to-Shopper section, which was up 12% (y/y) to $5.04B. Its working losses narrowed to -$0.42B (was -$1.41B in the identical interval final 12 months), following greater subscription income (from Disney+ Core and Hulu), in addition to diminished price in advertising and marketing, expertise and distribution.

Disney Plus Subscribers. Source: Statista
Disney Plus Subscribers. Supply: Statista

The corporate reported an enchancment in international Disney+ subscribers, to 150.2 million, marking the tip of the falling pattern for 3 consecutive quarters. By common month-to-month income per paid subscriber (ARPU), home Disney+ reported a rise of $0.19 from the earlier quarter to $7.50, whereas Worldwide Disney+ reported a rise of $0.09 to $6.10. The previous was attributed to greater promoting income, whereas the latter was attributed to a rise in common retail pricing, however partially offset by a better mixture of subscribers to promotional choices.

Paid Subscribers for DTC Products. Source: Walt Disney
Paid Subscribers for DTC Merchandise. Supply: Walt Disney

All in all, the administration stays optimistic over the outlook within the close to time period:

As we glance ahead, there are 4 key constructing alternatives that can be central to our success: reaching vital and sustained profitability in our streaming enterprise, constructing ESPN into the preeminent digital sports activities platform, enhancing the output and economics of our movie studios, and turbocharging development in our parks and experiences enterprise,” – CEO Bob Iger

Along with that, key focus can be on the corporate’s streaming enterprise profitability and subscriber development, client demand in addition to its price administration strategy.

 

Walt Disney: Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly Data). Source: Market Screener
Walt Disney: Earnings Assertion Evolution (Quarterly Knowledge). Supply: Market Screener

In line with projections by S&P International Market Intelligence, gross sales income is anticipated to succeed in $23.8B within the coming quarter, up 12% from the earlier quarter, and up 1.2% from the identical interval final 12 months. Working revenue and web earnings ought to see vital enchancment, at $3.5B and $1.62B respectively. This could deliver web margin and working margin up by 5.56% and 0.9% from the earlier quarter, to 6.80% and 14.91%, barely higher than the leads to the identical interval final 12 months.

Technical Evaluation:


The #Disney share worth stays clearly above its 52-week low ($78.73). The extent along with $75.30 projected from Fibonacci Growth, type a robust help zone. The most recent inventory worth closed above FE 61.8%, or $91.55, and approaching 100-week SMA. A bullish breakout above this dynamic resistance might deliver $105.60 (FR 78.6%, prolonged from the lows in March 2020 to the highs in March 2021) into focus, adopted by $126.40 (FR 61.8%).

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Larince Zhang

Market Analyst

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